August 24, 2021
If you really must predict, this is the way to improve the quality of the prediction: unweighted average of multiple *independent* and *expert* forecasters.

Or average a small group of *recently accurate* forecasters. https://t.co/6uOGyiZ2gf

This is one of the many thoughts I post on Twitter on daily basis. They span many disciplines, including art, artificial intelligence, automation, behavioral economics, cloud computing, cognitive psychology, enterprise management, finance, leadership, marketing, neuroscience, startups, and venture capital.

I archive all my tweets here.